ACUS11 KWNS 302321
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302321
VAZ000-310045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1051
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0621 PM CDT Fri May 30 2025

Areas affected...Southeast Virginia Tidewaters

Concerning...Tornado Watch 350...

Valid 302321Z - 310045Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 350 continues.

SUMMARY...Favorable low-level wind shear will continue to promote
some tornado risk this evening as storms move into the Tidewaters.

DISCUSSION...KAKQ VAD data shows sizeable low-level curvature early
this evening. A few stronger storms are now moving into the
Tidewaters region and will pose some risk for tornadoes over the
next couple of hours. Low-level thermodynamics and mid-level lapse
rates will tend to mitigate storm intensity to some extent. However,
a very moist airmass and strong mid-level ascent will still allow
some organized storms to persist into the evening.

..Wendt.. 05/30/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...

LAT...LON   36977807 37507733 37567731 38037711 38177668 37987625
            37347614 36997622 36857697 36977807

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN