FNUS72 KTAE 111219 FWSTAE Spot Forecast for the last south o rx...Florida Forest Service National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 819 AM EDT Fri Apr 11 2025 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 11. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... A front sweeping through the region ushers breezy northwest winds and a drying airmass today (min RH around 32%). Combined with forecast mixing heights exceeding 7000 ft yields very high dispersions beginning about 1PM EDT and persisting until this evening. Low dispersions are forecast from ignition time until 11AM EDT, thus only giving a 2-hr window for favorable LDSI. Such conditions should keep smoke away from I-10, but probably feed it into parts of the Tallahassee area. Lastly, there is a low chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm this afternoon (between about 4PM & 6PM EDT) at the burn site with better potential in the Eastern FL Big Bend. However, it would not be surprising to hear thunder and/or experience gusty/erratic winds from distant storms to the east. Similar conditions are expected tomorrow, minus convection. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). CWR.................10 percent. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........32 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 9 mph late in the morning. Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 8 mph increasing to 21 to 22 mph. LVORI...............3. Dispersion index....13 increasing to 28 late in the morning, then increasing to 58 early in the afternoon increasing to 99 early in the afternoon increasing to 113 decreasing to 105 late in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........2 3 7 18 6 6 9 12 23 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 Temp............59 65 70 73 76 78 79 79 78 RH..............90 73 61 53 45 38 35 32 32 20 FT wind dir..SW SW W W W W W NW NW 20 FT wind spd..2 3 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 20 FT wind gust.10 12 13 16 17 20 21 21 22 Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.7 2.3 4.0 5.6 7.3 7.0 6.7 6.3 Transp wind dir.NW W W W W W W NW NW Transp wind spd.7 8 9 13 15 18 21 22 21 Dispersion......9 17 28 58 99 116 109 105 104 LVORI...........5 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Gonzalez Requested by...Noah Wilson Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2509828.0/TAE .DELDT 04/11/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL noah.wilson@fdacs.gov