FNUS21 KWNS 300704
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0203 AM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

Valid 301200Z - 311200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...

...Synopsis...
A strong upper trough will intensify further as it ejects eastward
over the central US today and tonight. Strong mid-level flow will
accompany the trough, deepening a lee low over parts of CO/KS. The
low will move northeast along a cold front across KS and OK, drawing
an unusually moist air mass northward across the eastern Plains. To
the west, dry and breezy conditions are likely over parts of TX and
western OK, as well as the Midwest and Great Lakes. Elevated to
critical fire-weather conditions are possible.

...Southern Plains...
As the upper trough ejects eastward a 70-80 kt mid-level jet will
round the base of the trough over the southern and central High
Plains. West of a lee low and intensifying dryline, downslope winds
of 25-35 mph are likely across much of the eastern Panhandle and
western OK. Aided by mid-level subsidence and unusually warm
temperatures in the mid to upper 80s F, afternoon RH values of 8-15%
are expected through peak heating. The overlap of several hours of
hot, dry and windy conditions over very dry fuels lends higher
confidence in sustained critical fire-weather conditions this
afternoon. Additionally, the cold front trailing the low will pass
over the High Plains later this evening. A notable wind shift to
north/northwesterly is expected after 00z. Strong winds could
continue into the overnight hours exacerbating fire concerns despite
increasing RH.

...Great Lakes...
Dry and windy conditions are possible ahead of the deepening trough
over parts of the Great Lakes and Midwest today. While RH values
should steadily increase as moisture advects northward, sustained
southerly winds near 15-20 mph will overlap with extremely dry
fuels. While clouds and the increasing moisture should limit
marginal RH, a few hours of locally elevated fire-weather conditions
are possible this afternoon given the strong winds and unusually dry
fuels.

..Lyons.. 10/30/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$